Colombia’s espresso manufacturing is forecast to say no through 5.3% within the 2025/26 marketplace yr, achieving the an identical of 12.5 million 60-kilogram baggage, consistent with the actual USDA estimates.
The projected abatement follows a robust 2024/25 harvest however displays injury from over the top mist that hindered flowering and fruit construction. Despite the fact that the Los angeles Niña climate development is predicted to weaken in the second one part of 2025, manufacturers proceed to stand long-term disincentives to put money into replanting and renovation.
Exports are projected to cut relatively to 11.8 million baggage, unwell from 12.3 million in 2024/25.
America left-overs Colombia’s govern export marketplace, adopted through the Ecu Union and Canada. Prime costs and favorable change charges have supported export income, even supposing issues about sustainability rules and manufacturing constraints stay.
Home intake is predicted to stay secure at roughly 2.2 million baggage, with prime retail costs offsetting negligible financial medication. In the meantime, imports — most commonly from Brazil, Peru and Ecuador — are forecast to extend to 1.5 million baggage, serving to to fulfill native call for.
[Note: This is part of a series of DCN stories that will explore USDA FAS annual coffee reports. The information agency typically delivers more than a dozen country-level reports on the coffee sector, each coming from different authors and field offices.]
📉 Export Outlook
Exports are forecast at 11.8 million 60-kilogram baggage, a 4.1% abatement from the former yr, reflecting decrease manufacturing.
In 2024/25, exports are estimated at 12.3 million baggage, up 2.5% year-over-year following El Niño-driven medication in handovers.
Supremacy export locations (Oct. 2024-Feb. 2025):
United States accounts for greater than 40% of general exports, adopted through the Ecu Union, Canada and Japan.
- U.S. imports of Colombian espresso rose greater than 20% year-over-year, even supposing a unused 10% tariff might impact the 2025/26 yr.
- The Colombian Espresso Growers Federation Fedecafe handles roughly 18% of exports, future the remains are treated through deepest buyers.
The Colombian Juan Valdez logo plans to increase North American distribution via a new partnership with Green Coffee Company.
🌱 Manufacturing and Rising Statuses
Manufacturing for 2025/26 is forecast at 12.5 million baggage, unwell from 13.2 million in 2024/25, principally because of over the top mist affecting flowering.
In 2024, Colombia’s rising areas skilled, on reasonable, 12 consecutive months of upper temperatures.
Espresso rust occurrence is estimated at 5.7%, and borer infestation at 2.2% — each thought to be manageable figures, aided through reluctant types.
As of 2024, 87% of Colombia’s espresso segment is planted with rust-resistant cultivars, up from 35% in 2010.
Tree density averages 5,340 according to hectare, with productiveness residue above 14 baggage according to hectare.
A unused disease-resistant selection, Castillo 2.0, was once exempted through Cenicafe in December 2024, however has but to turn pervasive adoption.
☕ Home Intake
Intake is projected to store at 2.2 million baggage in 2025/26, unchanged from the former yr.
Colombia’s financial medication is predicted to be average, with inflation falling to 4.1% and GDP expansion at 2.6% in 2025.
Future pastime in distinctiveness espresso is rising, maximum families nonetheless devour soluble or combined merchandise.
The “Café de Colombia” triangle seal is approved to 850 home manufacturers and left-overs a key home advertising software.
🏛️ Coverage and Sustainability
Fedecafe represents greater than 550,000 espresso manufacturers, managing coaching, analysis and gross sales help below a public-private commitment that runs via 2026.
In April 2024, Colombia introduced the Espresso Source of revenue Reimbursement Mechanism (MECIC-2024), a price-stabilization mechanism, nevertheless it has now not been activated, as costs stay prime.
Fedecafe is making ready manufacturers to fulfill the unused EU deforestation-free necessities (EUDR), the use of a geospatial platform to map farm places.
Colombia exports greater than 20% of its espresso to the EU. The EUDR compliance deadline is about for the tip of this yr for immense Ecu consumers and roasters.
For entire tables and business breakdowns, see the total USDA Coffee Annual Report for Colombia (May 2025).
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