Mexico’s espresso manufacturing for the 2025/26 marketplace date (October to September) is forecast on the an identical of 3.9 million 60-kilogram baggage, a negligible build up over the former date, consistent with the untouched USDA estimates.
The expansion is supported via robust arabica handovers and government-backed planting projects, specifically in high-yielding states like Puebla and Veracruz. Manufacturing features have additionally been pushed via majestic world costs, permitting many manufacturers to put money into farm repairs and renovation.
Espresso exports are projected to arise to 3.05 million baggage, pushed via persevered enlargement in soluble espresso shipments and constant call for from america, Mexico’s height export marketplace. Exports of soluble espresso are anticipated to succeed in a file 1.65 million baggage.
Home intake is forecast at 3.15 million baggage, supported via a rising city cafe tradition and government-led projects designed to advertise home manufacturers.
[Note: This is part of a series of DCN stories that will explore USDA FAS annual coffee reports. The information agency typically delivers more than a dozen country-level reports on the coffee sector, each coming from different authors and field offices.]
📉 Export Outlook
General espresso exports are forecast at 3.05 million baggage, up from 2.92 million the former date.
Soluble espresso exports are projected to succeed in 1.65 million baggage, surpassing inexperienced espresso exports.
Inexperienced espresso is exported principally from January to September, peaking in April and Might.
America rest the height purchaser of inexperienced, roasted, and soluble Mexican espresso.
🌱 Manufacturing and Rising Statuses
General 2025/26 inexperienced espresso manufacturing is forecast at 3.9 million baggage, together with 3.54 million baggage of arabica and 363,000 baggage of robusta.
Mexico’s coffee-harvested segment is roughly 663,070 hectares, with a countrywide moderate surrender of five.89 baggage consistent with hectare.
Mexico’s top-producing states via quantity are Chiapas (37%), Veracruz (24%), Puebla (22%), Oaxaca (8.4%) and Hidalgo (3.2%)
Puebla leads in productiveness, with moderate handovers of 12.22 baggage consistent with hectare, greater than double the nationwide moderate.
Climate volatility, plant illnesses and restricted enter get entry to proceed to constrain handovers throughout many areas.
☕ Home Intake
Forecast home intake for 2025/26 is 3.15 million baggage, up 1.6% from the prior date.
Soluble espresso accounts for 57% of intake, with roasted entire bean and grassland espresso representing 43%.
Expansion supported via expanding urbanization, top rate café choices and more youthful customers exploring uniqueness espresso.
🏷️ Imports and Shares
Espresso imports forecast at 2.39 million baggage for 2025/26, up from 2.3 million the former date.
Robusta imports from Brazil are expanding to aid home mixing and processing.
Finishing shares are forecast at 353,000 baggage, up from 257,000 the former date, as import volumes develop and inventories stabilize.
🏛️ Coverage and Assistance Methods
In December 2024, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum introduced the initiation of Café Bienestar, a countrywide immediate espresso logo created to beef up get entry to in underserved subjects by means of 24,000+ Bienestar shops.
The federal government’s Cosechando Soberanía en Café program supplies direct aid of $365 consistent with manufacturer consistent with date, reaping benefits 205,443 manufacturers in 2024.
This system additionally ended in 53,542 lots of fertilizer allotted to 161,802 manufacturers in 2024.
Executive and personal sector projects attempt to spice up uniqueness manufacturing, formative years coaching and agro-tourism in areas like Chiapas, Veracruz and Puebla.
📣 Occasions and Feature Promotion
Mexico leads in Q-grader espresso certifications globally, reflecting ongoing trait development.
Annual occasions like Expo Café México and Cup of Excellence advertise home intake and international reputation.
People-private campaigns like “Ask for a Mexican Coffee” are selling regional espresso tourism and native cafe importance.
For backup industry figures and background information, consult with the total USDA Coffee Annual Report for Mexico (May 2025).
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