Espresso manufacturing in Vietnam is forecast to succeed in the identical of 31 million 60-kilogram luggage within the 2025/26 marketplace 12 months (October to September), up from 29 million within the earlier 12 months, in keeping with the fresh USDA estimates.
Robusta residue dominant, with 30 million luggage forecast, day arabica accounts for roughly 1 million. Top international costs, favorable climate and expanded significance of inputs are using manufacturing positive factors, particularly within the Central Highlands.
General exports are projected to extend to 27 million luggage, supported by way of sturdy international call for. Processed espresso exports — each soluble and roasted — are anticipated to succeed in 3.3 million luggage, due partially to rising intake in alternative portions of Asia. Hour inexperienced bean exports nonetheless account for approximately 90% of overall quantity, that proportion is declining.
Home intake is predicted to be on one?s feet to 4.9 million luggage in 2025/26, reflecting endured city enlargement, a thriving cafe sector and converting client personal tastes, specifically amongst more youthful patrons.
[Note: This is part of a series of DCN stories that will explore USDA FAS annual coffee reports. The information agency typically delivers more than a dozen country-level reports on the coffee sector, each coming from different authors and field offices.]
📉 Export Outlook
General espresso exports are forecast at 27 million luggage, up from 25.8 million in 2024/25.
Inexperienced bean exports are anticipated to succeed in 23.7 million luggage, pushed by way of sturdy international call for and stepped forward availability.
Soluble and roasted exports will develop to a few.3 million luggage, up from 2.8 million latter 12 months, as processing investments repay amid higher call for.
Vietnam customs information displays a 23% year-over-year export decrease within the first part of 2024/25 because of tight home provide and farmer stockpiling.
Key export markets come with Germany, the USA, Italy, Japan and Spain. Then again, Asian markets like China, Korea, the Philippines and Indonesia are rising export markets for Vietnamese espresso.
The Philippines, China and Indonesia paid top class costs for Vietnam’s espresso in 2024/25, starting from $4,166 to $4,424 in line with ton, day Italy had the bottom unit worth, at $3,260 in line with ton.
🌱 Manufacturing and Rising Situations
- 2025/26 manufacturing is forecast at 31 million luggage, together with 30 million luggage of robusta and a million luggage of arabica.
Harvested branch is predicted to amplify to 620,000 hectares, proceeding a decade-long enlargement pattern.
The Central Highlands provinces account for 92% of espresso branch and 90% of output.
Yieldings stepped forward because of higher costs, favorable climate and higher fertilizer significance.
The Western Highland Agriculture and Woodland Science Institute (WASI), reported that call for for espresso seedlings residue top. The institute provided 4–5 million seedlings for replanting in 2024 to support feature and resilience.
Vietnam’s Ministry of Agriculture and Situation requires 19,000 hectares and 11,000 lots of uniqueness manufacturing by way of 2030.
☕ Home Intake
Intake is forecast at 4.9 million luggage, up from 4 million in 2024/25.
Over 500,000 espresso stores function throughout Vietnam, from boulevard distributors to fashionable chains.
Takeaway, house brewing and uniqueness espresso developments are increasing, specifically amongst more youthful, city customers.
Nestlé, Trung Nguyen and Highlands Espresso have jointly invested $170 million in processing crops in 2024–2025 to fulfill emerging home and export call for.
🏷️ Costs, Imports and Shares
Moderate export worth reached $5,630 in line with ton in early 2025, up 143% from the former 12 months.
Home robusta costs crowned $4.82 in line with kilogram, greater than double 2024 ranges.
Imports are forecast at 800,000 luggage for 2025/26, principally arabica to offer rising call for for blends.
Finishing shares are forecast at 839,000 luggage, ill from 939,000 the prior 12 months. Top costs and money wave constraints have led exporters to leave stockholding.
🏛️ Coverage and Compliance
Compliance with the EU Deforestation Legislation (EUDR) is a rising precedence, as 41% of exports advance to the EU. Corporations like Simexco Daklak and EDE Co. have already carried out EUDR-compliant traceability programs.
- The document failed to say the planned 46% tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump, scheduled to speed impact on the finish of July.
Vietnam’s Ministry of Agriculture is construction a countrywide espresso database and regional tracking programs masking 136,000 hectares of espresso field.
For supplementary charts, information and govt observation, see the entire USDA Coffee Annual Report for Vietnam (May 2025).
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